NFL Betting: Titans at Jaguars

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The Tennessee Titans are the last undefeated team in the NFL this season and if you want to call what they’re doing “winning ugly,” so be it. At a lofty 9-0 Tennessee owns a four-game lead in the AFC South, and more importantly, a three-game lead in the race for the best record in the conference. Which, of course, is how one earns home-field advantage throughout the playoffs.

The Titans have a few more tests to pass, though, before winning anything and one of those comes this Sunday when they visit Jacksonville for what should be a tough divisional clash with a desperate Jaguars team.

OddsMaker is listing Tennessee as three-point road chalk for Sunday’s game (4:15PM ET, CBS), with a total of 39.5.

The Titans opened this season with a 17-10 win over the Jags in Nashville, a game in which they were three-point home underdogs. And Tennessee still hasn’t lost yet this season, although things have gotten tight lately. Two weeks ago the Titans needed overtime to beat Green Bay. And last Sunday, Tennessee held off a late drive by the Bears to win 21-14 in Chicago.

Meanwhile, Jacksonville has struggled mightily to live up to preseason expectations, and sits at 4-5 and in big danger of missing the playoffs. The Jags are, however, coming off a 38-14 victory last week, albeit over the winless Lions.

The Titans won that season opener over the Jaguars by holding a supposedly potent Jacksonville running game to 33 yards, and running for 137 yards themselves. To be fair, the Jags were hamstrung by an injury-depleted offensive line, and that wound still hasn’t healed. Tennessee bulled its way to a 17-7 lead late in the game, and changed quarterbacks in the process, sitting an injured Vince Young and inserting veteran Kerry Collins. And it’s been that way ever since.

The Titans won last week despite rushing for just 20 yards. But Collins went 30/41 passing for nearly 300 yards and a couple of TDs, and didn’t throw an interception.

Jacksonville has five losses this season – by seven points, four, five, six and two points. In fact, despite the losing record, the Jags have outscored opponents on the season by 12 points.

These division rivals have split their season series the last two seasons. And even though three of the last five meetings in this series have gone over the totals, those five games have only averaged 35 points.

This season, the totals are 4-5 in Titans games, which are averaging 37 points, and 4-4-1 in Jags games, which are averaging 43 points. Overall, NFL totals have gone 73-66 so far this season, as the games have averaged 44 points.

Through the first 10 weeks of this regular season, NFL home underdogs are 16-27 straight up, and 18-25 vs. the spread. And divisional home dogs are 4-10 SU, and 5-9 ATS.

OddsMaker is also listing Tennessee as +180 favorites on its updated AFC championship betting board, and +600 to win Super Bowl XLIII down in Tampa in February. Jacksonville is getting +2200 to win the AFC at OddsMaker, and +5000 to win the Super Bowl.

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