NFL Pro Football 2019 Kansas City Chiefs Regular Season Win Odds Preview

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The Kansas City Chiefs finished play in the 2018 regular season at 12-4 champions of the AFC West. They beat Indianapolis in an AFC Divisional playoff 31-13 but were beaten the following week at home to New England 37-31 in overtime of the AFC Championship Game. Kansas City has made the playoffs in four straight and five of the six seasons under head coach Andy Reid. Over their past four seasons under Reid, KC is 21-3 straight up against the AFC West.

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The current odds available for wagering at Oddsmaker, where the bonuses are the best in the business has the Kansas City Chiefs lined at 10 wins with over and under bringing back -115 odds.

Quarterback Patrick Mahomes in his first year as the starting quarterback help improved the Kansas City Chiefs offense greatly. Team posted 35 points and 418 yards per game with 303 yards coming in the passing game. Defense did surrender 26 points and 404 yards per contest. Mahomes completed 66% of his passes for 5097 yards with 50 touchdowns and 12 picks. He averaged 8.8 yards per yards attempt a big play passing attack.

In the backfield the team had to part ways with running back Kareem Hunt. Their run game generated 4.8 yards per rush and his production was missed as the team lost three of their final seven games including playoffs. Damien Williams remains as the starter in the backfield. Former Ohio St product Carlos Hyde will vie for carries. Williams played well after Spencer Ware went down with strong production in the playoffs. He did average 5.1 yards per carry in his 50 carries last year. Williams has not been used much in his single season and four seasons with Miami as 50 carries has been the most in any one season. Hyde in his past two seasons with three teams rushed for 3.9 yards per run in 2017 with San Francisco and 3.3 yards per run combined with Jacksonville and Cleveland.

Tyreek Hill is an elite receiver for KC. He had 87 catches for 1479 yards with 12 touchdowns and 17 yards per reception. Bad news for the Chiefs is that Hill could be facing a suspension to start the season. With no first round picks they helped their receiving corps taking Georgia wide out Mecole Hardman out of Georgia and is expected to start when the Chiefs go three wide. Sammy Watkins did have 40 catches for 513 yards with three touchdowns and 13 yards per catch. DeMarcus Robinson enters his fourth year and had 22 catches with four touchdowns and 13.1 yards per reception. Team just signed veteran Michael Crabtree for depth and have young inexperienced speed in reserve. Tight end Travis Kelce had 103 catches with 10 touchdowns with an average of 13 yards per reception.

Chiefs return all five starters to their offensive line but with depth they are not a lock to keep their starting jobs. Notable linemannacquired was Nick Allegretti late in the draft from Illinois. They also have several undrafted rookies entering camp.

KC will go as far their defense takes them. They are loaded offensively with weapons and experienced at the offensive line. They could not make late stops in the most critical time of their season in their loss to New England in the AFC Championship being unable to get off the field in several key third down plays. A bad defense can demoralize a team’s psyche pressuring the offense to be perfect in every position.

KC is transitioning to a younger defense after ranking 31st in the NFL last season. They did draft Juan Thornhill a safety out of Virginia in the second round. Three of their first four picks in the draft were selected on defense. Team did sign Tyrann Matheiu a safety from the Texans. Frank Clark from Seattle is a 25 year old defensive end coming over. Defensive coordinator Steve Spagnuolo changes to a 4-3 scheme and there will be several new starters. He was signed in January. A complete overhaul. Mark Fields a defensive back from Clemson was what many experts touted as the best undrafted corner was signed by KC. Spags has spent seven seasons with Andy Reid in Philadelphia. He worked under former Eagles defensive coordinator the late Jim Johnson who emphasized heavy blitzing from the safety and corner position.

The AFC West faces the AFC South and NFC North this season. With a first place schedule the Chiefs will meet New England from the AFC East and Baltimore from the AFC North. They have two sets of back to back road trips. They are at Jacksonville and Oakland to start the season. Then in mid-November at Tennessee then face LA Chargers in Mexico City. That is a Chargers home date. Though KC did have their fans travel in big numbers to Carson to watch their Chiefs take on the Chargers. Tough road games come late in the Season with December visits to New England on the 8th and Chicago on the 22nd. They get Green Bay and Minnesota at home.

Chiefs are a good home team that could finish at last 6-2 or 7-1. They have enough winnable road games to get to at least ten wins. Like the team of Reid and Spagnuolo working together with a young defense to provide confidence. They won 12 regular season games with a bad defense.

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